What will be the effects of the coronavirus pandemic on Europe? How will the pandemic change the trajectory of European development? One way to answer these questions is to ask where Europe seemed to be headed before the coronavirus struck and then assess what is likely to change as a result of the pandemic. We will address these questions based on an analysis of European trends we projected for analysis conducted by INSS on European futures five years out. The goal of that paper was to analyze Europe from the perspective of a world increasingly defined by great power competition. We’ll summarize our findings and then consider how the coronavirus is likely to affect them.
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