PUBLICATIONS

Through its publications, INSS aims to provide expert insights, cutting-edge research, and innovative solutions that contribute to shaping the national security discourse and preparing the next generation of leaders in the field.

 
News | Sept. 29, 2023

Agile and Adaptable: U.S. and NATO Approaches to Russia's Short-Term Military Potential

By Lisa Aronsson and John R. Deni CSIS

934th Airlift Wing mobilizes to Europe AOR to support NATO Allies in Ukraine
934th Airlift Wing members wait in line during a personnel deployment function at Minneapolis-St. Paul Air Reserve Station on Feb. 15, 2022. The 934th Airlift Wing was notified last week of a potential deployment in support of a broader effort to demonstrate our commitment to NATO allies. The wing will undertake a mission to transport people and essential cargo in the area of operation. (U.S. Air Force photo by Chris Farley)
934th Airlift Wing mobilizes to Europe AOR to support NATO Allies in Ukraine
Far from Home: Global Vikings deploy to European AOR in support of Allies
934th Airlift Wing members wait in line during a personnel deployment function at Minneapolis-St. Paul Air Reserve Station on Feb. 15, 2022. The 934th Airlift Wing was notified last week of a potential deployment in support of a broader effort to demonstrate our commitment to NATO allies. The wing will undertake a mission to transport people and essential cargo in the area of operation. (U.S. Air Force photo by Chris Farley)
Photo By: 934th Airlift Wing Photo
VIRIN: 220216-F-XX680-0004

Russia’s war in Ukraine has triggered the worst security crisis facing Europe since the end of the Cold War. It brought a major conventional war of aggression to the European continent and enormous human suffering, but in doing so it has also unified and reenergized the NATO alliance and accelerated efforts to reconstitute transatlantic defense and deterrence. Assessing Russia’s performance in the war thus far, and how the Russian military is evolving as a result, is an important part of that effort. This report assesses changes in the Russian military threat to NATO over the short term (two to four years), and it provides analysis on how the United States and NATO might adapt their strategies, planning, and posture in response.

Read the full report at CSIS here.

Lisa Aronsson is a Research Fellow at the Center for Strategic Research, Institute for National Strategic Studies at National Defense University.

John R. Deni is a Research Professor of JIIM Security Studies at the Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College.

The views expressed are the authors own and do not reflect those of the National Defense University, the Department of Defense, or the U.S. Government.