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Through its publications, INSS aims to provide expert insights, cutting-edge research, and innovative solutions that contribute to shaping the national security discourse and preparing the next generation of leaders in the field.

 

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Tag: behavior modeling

Graphic representation of inversely proportional interaction of menacing nature of conflict, probability of risk avoidance or mitigation and perception of threat and resultant experience of dread. With high contextual menace, a decreased probability of avoidance or mitigation of risk factors increases the perception of threat, and the experience of dread; while increased probability of avoidance or mitigation of risk lessens contextual menace, perceived threat and experienced dread.

Feb. 9, 2026

Perceptions of Threat, Correlates of Dread, and Collective Instability

This essay argues that individual and collective perceptions of threat—and their neurocognitive correlate, dread—are key drivers of instability, volatility, and violence, and must be understood and engaged as strategic elements of modern cognitive warfare and deterrence.