Wuthnow, Joel

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Areas of Expertise:  China; Asia-Pacific Region

Dr. Joel Wuthnow is a senior research fellow in the Center for the Study of Chinese Military Affairs within the Institute for National for Strategic Studies at NDU. His research areas include Chinese foreign and security policy, Chinese military affairs, U.S.-China relations, and strategic developments in East Asia. In addition to his duties in INSS, he also serves as an adjunct professor in the Edmund A. Walsh School of Foreign Service at Georgetown University. 

Prior to joining NDU, Dr. Wuthnow was a China analyst at CNA, a postdoctoral fellow in the China and the World Program at Princeton University, and a pre-doctoral fellow at The Brookings Institution. His research has appeared in journals such as The China Quarterly, Journal of Contemporary China, Asian Security, Asia Policy, Journal of Strategic Studies, Chinese Journal of International Politics, and Joint Force Quarterly, as well as in NDU’s China Strategic Perspectives monograph series. He is also the author of a book, Chinese Diplomacy and the UN Security Council (Routledge).

Dr. Wuthnow holds degrees from Princeton University (A.B., summa cum laude, in Public and International Affairs), Oxford University (M.Phil. in Modern Chinese Studies), and Columbia University (Ph.D. in Political Science). He is proficient in Mandarin. 

Email: joel.wuthnow.civ@ndu.edu 

Recent Publications:  

Books and Monographs

• System Overload: Can China's Military Be Distracted in a War over Taiwan? (NDU, China Strategic Perspectives 15, June 2020)
• China's Other Army: The People's Armed Police in an Era of Reform (NDU, China Strategic Perspectives 14, April 2019)
• Chairman Xi Remakes the PLA: Assessing Chinese Military Reforms (NDU Press, 2019) (co-editor, with Phillip C. Saunders, Arthur Ding, Andrew Scobell, and Andrew Yang) 
• Raging Waters: China, India, Bangladesh, and Brahmaputra River Politics (Marine Corps University Press, 2018) (with Satu Limaye and Nilanthi Samaranayake)
• Chinese Perspectives on the Belt and Road Initiative: Strategic Rationales, Risks, and Implications (NDU, China Strategic Perspectives 12, October 2017) 
• Chinese Military Reforms in the Age of Xi Jinping: Drivers, Challenges, and Implications (NDU, China Strategic Perspectives 10, March 2017) (with Phillip. C. Saunders) 
• Chinese Diplomacy and the UN Security Council (Routledge; paperback 2015) 

Book Chapters 

• "A More Cohesive Force: Enabling Joint Operations in the PLA," in Roy Kamphausen, David Lai, and Tiffany Ma (eds.,), Securing the China Dream: The PLA's Role in a Time of Reform and Change (NBR, 2020), 35-52 (with Phillip C. Saunders) 
• "A Modern Major General: Building Joint Commanders in the PLA," in Phillip C. Saunders et al. (eds.), Chairman Xi Remakes the PLA (NDU Press, 2019), 293-323 (with Phillip C. Saunders)
• "Large and In Charge: Civil-Military Relations under Xi Jinping," in Phillip C. Saunders et al. (eds.), Chairman Xi Remakes the PLA (NDU Press, 2019), 519-555 (with Phillip C. Saunders)
• "China's Belt and Road: One Initiative, Three Strategies," in Ashley J. Tellis, Alison Szalwinski, and Michael Wills (eds.), Strategic Asia 2019: China's Expanding Strategic Ambitions (NBR, 2019), 211-246
• "A View from the United States on Sino-U.S. Relations," in Gilbert Rozman (ed.), The Sino-ROK-U.S. Triangle (KEI, 2017), 37-54

Journal Articles

• "China's 'New-Type' Private Think Tanks: Is 'New' Better?" Journal of Chinese Political Science (June 2020) (with Dingding Chen)
• "Contested Strategies: China, the United States, and the Indo-Pacific Security Dilemma," China International Strategy Review 1:1 (June 2019), 1-12
• "U.S. 'Minilateralism' in Asia and China's Responses: A New Security Dilemma?" Journal of Contemporary China 28:115 (January 2019), 133-150
• "Asian Security without the United States? Examining China's Security Strategy in Maritime and Continental Asia," Asian Security 14:3 (October 2018), 230-245
• "China's New 'Black Box': Problems and Prospects for the Central National Security Commission," The China Quarterly, Vol. 232 (November 2017), 886-903
• "Beyond Imposing Costs: Recalibrating U.S. Strategy in the South China Sea," Asia Policy 24 (July 2017), 123-138
• "A Brave New World for Chinese Joint Operations," Journal of Strategic Studies 40:1-2 (February 2017), 169-195
• "China's Goldwater-Nichols? Assessing PLA Organizational Reform" Joint Force Quarterly 82 (July 2016), 68-75 (with Phillip C. Saunders)
• “Barriers, Springboards, and Benchmarks: China Conceptualizes the Pacific ‘Island Chains’” The China Quarterly, Vol. 225 (March 2016), 1-22 (with Andrew S. Erickson)

INSS Strategic Forums

• Just Another Paper Tiger? Chinese Perspectives on the U.S. Indo-Pacific Strategy, Strategic Forum 305, June 2020 
• The PLA Beyond Asia: China's Growing Military Presence in the Red Sea Region, Strategic Forum 303, January 2020
• China's Goldwater-Nichols: Assessing PLA Organizational Reforms, Strategic Forum 294, April 2016

• Posing Problems without an Alliance: China-Iran Relations after the Nuclear Deal, Strategic Forum 290, February 2016

Commentary 

• "Brahmaputra: A Conflict-Prone River Takes a Step Backwards," War on the Rocks, December 23, 2020 (with Satu Limaye and Nilanthi Samaranayake) 
• "PLA's Capability Expands," East Asia Forum Quarterly, December 14, 2020
• "America Has Created a 'China-Iran Collaboration' Monster," The National Interest, July 18, 2020 (with Phillip C. Saunders)
• "China's Inopportune Pandemic Assertivenss," PacNet #33, June 9, 2020
• "Responding to the Epidemic in Wuhan: Insights into Chinese Military Logistics," China Brief, April 13, 2020
• "China's Military Claims to Be Virus-Free," Foreign Policy, March 20, 2020 
• "Will China Strengthen Iran's Military Machine in 2020?" The National Interest, January 16, 2020 
• "The Re-Conquerors of Hong Kong? A Primer on China's People's Armed Police," War on the Rocks, August 23, 2019 
• "Deciphering China's Intentions: What Can Open Sources Tell Us?" The Asan Forum, July 29, 2019 
• "Shangri-La 2019: Shanahan's Turn in the Bully Pulpit," The National Interest, May 30, 2019
• "China's 'New' Academy of Military Science: A Revolution in Theoretical Affairs?" China Brief, January 18, 2019
• "President Trump, Don't Forget the United Nations," East Asia Forum, November 3, 2018
• "Why China Discounts the Indo-Pacific Quad," PacNet #55, August 7, 2018
• "Doklam, One Year Later: China's Long Game in the Himalayas," War on the Rocks, June 7, 2018 (with Satu Limaye and Nilanthi Samaranayake) 
• "From Friend to Foe-ish: Washington's Negative Turn on the Belt and Road Initiative," The Asan Forum 6:3 (May-June 2018)
• "Major Progress and Unfinished Business: China's Military Under Xi Jinping," Global Asia 13:1 (Spring 2018, with Phillip C. Saunders), 13-17 
• "China's Overseas Basing: Will the PLA Follow the Renminbi?" The National Interest, February 17, 2018
• "China's Military Has a Discipline Problem. Here Is How Xi Jinping Is Trying to Fix It," The National Interest, November 12, 2017 (with Phillip C. Saunders) 
• "Did China Use Water as a Weapon in the Doklam Standoff?" War on the Rocks, October 4, 2017
• "China's Russia Problem on North Korea" PacNet #56, August 17, 2017
• "Did India Miscalculate China's Red Lines in Australia Snub?" The National Interest, June 7, 2017
• "The CMC General Office: Recentralizing Power in the PLA," China Brief, May 11, 2017   
• "From Green to Purple: Can the Chinese Military Become More Joint?" War on the Rocks, March 30, 2017 (with Phillip C. Saunders)
• "PLA Reform in 2017: Likely Directions and Implications for Taiwan," Global Taiwan Brief, March 8, 2017 
• "China Cannot Be Expected to Punish North Korea," The National Interest, February 18, 2017
• "China and India's Slow-Moving Path to 'Water Wars'" The National Interest, November 1, 2016 (with Satu Limaye and Nilanthi Samaranayake)
• "Should Taiwan Fear China's New Rocket Force?" Policy Forum, September 2, 2016  (with David Logan)
• "China's Calibrated Response to the South China Sea is Firm (Yet Flexible)," The National Interest, August 17, 2016
• "China's Much-Heralded NSC Has Disappeared," Foreign Policy, June 30, 2016
• "What Do China's Military Reforms Mean for Taiwan?" NBR Commentary, May 19, 2016 (with Phillip C. Saunders)
• "Water War: This River Could Sink China-India Relations," The National Interest, April 18, 2016
• "Warning: Is China Pivoting Back to North Korea?" The National Interest, March 8, 2016
• "Why Islands Still Matter in Asia," The National Interest, February 5, 2016 (with Andrew S. Erickson)
• "Are Chinese Arms About to Flood Into Iran?" The National Interest, January 13, 2016

Testimony

• "Projecting Strength in a Time of Uncertainty: China's Military in 2020," Testimony for the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, September 9, 2020
• "Securing China's Belt and Road Initiative," Testimony for the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, January 25, 2018