Email | (202) 685-3837
Areas of Expertise: Asia and the Pacific (South and Central Asia); Middle East and North Africa
Dr. Thomas F. Lynch III is a Distinguished Research Fellow for South Asia, the Near East, and countering radical Islam at the Center for Strategic Research (CSR) at the Institute of National Strategic Studies (INSS) of the National Defense University (NDU) in Washington, D.C. Dr. Lynch researches, writes, lectures, teaches and organizes workshops and conferences for Department of Defense customers on the topics of Pakistan, Afghanistan, India & the Subcontinent, the Gulf Arab States, and the past & future trajectory of radical Islam. His primary ongoing research is focused on India’s strategic rise and implications for Indo-Pacific security and stability. Among his many open source publications are the recent: “The Growing Entente between India and Japan,” The National Interest (March/April 2019); “The Decades-Long ‘Double-Double Game’: Pakistan, the United States, and the Taliban, Military Review (July/August 2018); and,“Chapter 13 – Charting a Course: The United States in South Asia,” in R.D. Hooker, Jr. Ed, Charting a Course: Strategic Choices for a New Administration, December 2016.
Dr. Lynch joined NDU in July 2010 after a 28 year career in the active duty U.S. Army, serving in a variety of command and staff positions as an armor/cavalry officer and as a senior level politico-military analyst including as a Special Assistant to the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff & Deputy Director of the Chairman’s Advisory & Initiatives Group; Commander of the U.S. Army War Theater Support Group in Doha, Qatar; Director of the Advisory Group for the Commander, U.S. Central Command (USCENTCOM); and Military Special Assistant to the U.S. Ambassador to Afghanistan.
Dr. Lynch is a regular multi-media analyst and commentator on national and international programs. He is a member of the U.S. Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) and an adjunct professor in the Security Studies Program in the School of Foreign Service at Georgetown University. He holds a B.S. from the U.S. Military Academy at West Point, a Master’s in Public Administration (MPA) and a Masters (M.A.) & Ph.D. in International Relations from the Woodrow Wilson School at Princeton University.
- Military Factors and Conventional Arms Control: The Impact of Technology and Doctrine Upon Conventional Military Offensiveness and Arms Control. (Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press Dissertation Service, 1995).
- Understanding International Relations: The Value of Alternative Lenses, Thomas F. Lynch III, Asa Clark & Ricky Waddell eds. (New York, NY: McGraw Hill, 1993)
- "South Asia," in R.D. Hooker, Jr. ed. Charting a Course: Strategic Choices for a New Administration (Washington, D.C.: NDU Press, December 2016), 267-296.
- “New Caliphate in West Asia: Impact on al Qaeda’s Core, Global Jihad and Jihad in South Asia,” in Dhruv C. Katoch and Shakti Sinha eds. Terrorism Today: Aspects, Challenges and Responses (New Delhi: Pentagon Press, 2016), pp.104-119.
- "The 80 Percent Solution: The Strategic Defeat of bin Laden’s al-Qaeda and Implications for South Asian Security," in Peter Bergen ed. Talibanistan: Negotiating the Borders Between Terror, Politics and Religion (London: Oxford University Press, 2013), pp. 388-430.
- The 80% Solution: The Defeat of bin Laden’s al-Qaeda and South Asian Security, Conference Proceedings: Ten Years Later: Insights on al-Qaeda’s Past & Future through Captured Records (Washington, D.C.: Johns Hopkins University Press, April 2012), pp. 149-168.
- “Chapter 6: Transnational Movements and Terrorism,” with Mark Stout & T.X. Hammes in America’s Security Role in a Changing World: Global Strategic Assessment, 2009; NDU-INSS (Spring 2009).
- “The Foundations of Radicalism,” in Understanding International Relations, Asa Clark, Thomas Lynch & Ricky Waddell eds., McGraw-Hill (1993).
- “The Growing Entente between India and Japan,” The National Interest (March/April 2019)
- “The Decades-Long ‘Double-Double Game’: Pakistan, the United States, and the Taliban,” Military Review (July/August 2018)
- “Balancing China & Transcending Pax-Americana: India and Japan as Emerging Strategic Bookends,” The ASAN Forum (July 2018)
- "Book Review of Robert Gates' Duty: Memoirs of a Secretary at War (2014)." Joint Forces Quarterly 80 (1st Quarter, 2016).
- “The U.S. Military and Countering ISIS,” Middle East Institute – Policy Memo, October 1, 2015.
- “The Impact of ISIS on Global Salafism and South Asian Jihad,” Current Trends in Islamist Ideology, Volume 19, The Hudson Institute, August 2015.
- “After ISIS: Fully Reappraising U.S. Policy in Afghanistan,” The Washington Quarterly, 38:2, 119-144 (July 2015).
- “Eternal Legacies: India and Pakistan Divided (Book Review)," War on the Rocks (July 28, 2015).
- "Post-2014 Afghanistan & the Looming Consequences of Strategic Misappreciation," Orbis, Vol. 59, No 2 (Spring 2015)
- The 80% Solution: The Defeat of bin Laden’s al-Qaeda and South Asian Security, Conference Proceedings: Ten Years Later: Insights on al-Qaeda’s Past & Future through Captured Records, Eds. Lorry Fenner, Mark Stout and Jessica Goldings (Washington, D.C.: The Johns Hopkins University Center for Advanced Governmental Studies, 2012), pp. 149-168.
- “Transnational Movements and Terrorism,” with Mark Stout and T.X. Hammes, Joint Forces Quarterly, Issue 54 (April 2009).
- “Afghan Dilemmas: Staying Power,” The American Interest, Vol. III, No. 5, (May/June 2008).
- “NATO Unbound: Out-of-Area Operations in the Greater Middle East,” Orbis, Vol. 49, No. 1 (Winter 2005).
- India-Japan Strategic Cooperation and Implications for U.S. Strategy in the Indo-Asia-Pacific Region, National Defense University-Institute for National Strategic Studies Strategic Perspectives 24, March 2017.
- India’s Naxalite Insurgency: History, Trajectory and Implications for U.S.-India Security Cooperation on Domestic Counterinsurgency,National Defense University-Institute for National Strategic Studies Strategic Perspectives 22, October 2016.
- The Return of Foreign Fighters to Central Asia, National Defense University-Institute for National Strategic Studies Strategic Perspectives 21, October 2016.
- The Islamic State as Icarus: A Critical Assessment of an Untenable Threat, Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars (WWICS), October 2015.
- Sources of Terrorism and Rational Counters, Trends Research and Advisory Papers, January 2015.
- Crisis Stability and Nuclear Exchange Risks on the Subcontinent: Major Trends and the Iran Factor, National Defense University-Institute for National Strategic Studies Strategic Perspectives 14, November 2013.
- The 80 Percent Solution: The Strategic Defeat of bin Laden’s al-Qaeda and Implications for South Asian Security, National Security Studies Program Policy Paper, New America Foundation, February 2012.
- Sunni and Shia Terrorism – Differences that Matter. Occasional Paper Series- Combating Terrorism Center (CTC), West Point, New York, December 2008.
- "The Status of China-India Relations one Year After Doklam," ChinaFile (June14, 2018).
- "U.S. Defense Secretary Mattis: A Visit to India," South Asia Monitor (October 4, 2017).
- “A Failure of Strategic Vision: U.S. Policy and the Doklam Border Dispute” Strategic Insights (September 6, 2017).
- "U.S. Policy and the Doklam Border Dispute: A Missed Opportunity," South Asia Monitor (September 4, 2017).
- "What bin Laden Taught Us About Jihad in Pakistan," War on the Rocks (June 4, 2015)
- "Advice for France in its 'War on Terror'" with Cindy Storer, Mark Stout, Stephen Tankel & Clint Watts (January 27, 2015)
- "We Can't Expect Strategy from the National Defense Panel," War on the Rocks (September 3, 2014)
- "Less than 10K in the Graveyard of Empires," War on the Rocks (June 18, 2014)
- "Saudi-Qatari Convergence and Divergence on Iran and Syria," War on the Rocks (April 17, 2014)
- "Confronting Reality: The Saudi-Pakistani Nuclear Nexus," War on the Rocks (December 30, 2013)
- "General Kayani and US-Pakistan relations, 2007-2013," War on the Rocks (December 17, 2013)
- "It's not About al-Qaeda Anymore," War on the Rocks (November 26, 2013)