Areas of Expertise: Terrorism; Counter-terrorism; Irregular & Hybrid Warfare; Middle East Security
Dr. Bryce Loidolt is a Research Fellow at National Defense University's Institute for National Strategic Studies. Prior to joining NDU, he was a Defense Analyst at the RAND Corporation. Dr. Loidolt’s current research draws on statistical, archival, Arabic language, and interview-based methods to examine the instruments and dynamics of interstate competition, counterterrorism, and irregular and hybrid warfare. He has deployed twice to provide research support to Special Operations Forces in Afghanistan and has conducted field research in Egypt, Yemen, and the United Arab Emirates. Dr. Loidolt's work has been published or is forthcoming as RAND Corporation and NDU Press monographs, War on the Rocks, West Point's CTC Sentinel, the Modern War Institute’s War Room, and in scholarly journals such as Texas National Security Review, Studies in Conflict and Terrorism, and Terrorism and Political Violence.
A Southern California native, Dr. Loidolt received his B.A. in Middle East Studies from Middlebury College, his M.A. in Political Science from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, and his Ph.D. in Political Science from the George Washington University, where he held the Rumsfeld Fellowship from 2015-2017.
Dr. Loidolt is a Term Member at the Council on Foreign Relations.
Commentary and Research Essays
- Bryce Loidolt, “Managed Risks, Managed Expectations: How Far Can Targeted Killing get the United States in Afghanistan?” War on the Rocks, May 18, 2021.
- Bryce Loidolt, “Reconsidering al-Qaeda-Iranian Cooperation,” War on the Rocks, February 17, 2021.
- Bryce Loidolt, “Iranian Resources and Shia Militant Cohesion: Insights from the Khazali Papers,” CTC Sentinel, West Point Combating Terrorism Center, January 2019.
- Bryce Loidolt and COL Ed Ballanco, “If We Want Security Force Assistance Missions to Succeed, Give Advisers Control of the Purse Strings,” Modern War Institute War Room, October 2018.
Monographs and Book Chapters
- Bryce Loidolt et al., “Rogues, Disrupters, and Spoilers in an Era of Great Power Competition,” in Tom Lynch ed., Strategic Assessment 2020: Into a New Era of Great Power Competition, (Washington, DC: NDU Press 2020).
- Bryce Loidolt et al., “Competing Visions and Actions by China, Russia, and the United States in Latin America, the Middle East, Africa, and the Arctic,” in Tom Lynch ed., Strategic Assessment 2020: Into a New Era of Great Power Competition, (Washington, DC: NDU Press 2020).
- Eric Robinson, Kathleen Frier, Kim Cragin, Melissa Bradley, Daniel Egel, Bryce Loidolt, and Paul Streinberg, What Factors Cause Individuals to Reject Violent Extremism in Yemen? (Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2017).
- Ben Connable, Jason Campbell, Bryce Loidolt, and Gail Fisher, Assessing Freedom of Movement for Counterinsurgency Campaigns, (Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2012).
- Austin Long, Stephanie Pezard, Bryce Loidolt, and Todd Helmus, Locals Rule: Historical Lessons for Creating Local Defense Forces for Afghanistan and Beyond, (Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2012).
- Barak A. Salmoni, Bryce Loidolt, and Madeleine Wells, Regime and Periphery in Northern Yemen: the Huthi Phenomenon, (Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2010).
Refereed Journal Articles
- Bryce Loidolt, “Were Drone Strikes Effective? Evaluating Lethal Targeting through Captured al-Qaeda Records,” Texas National Security Review (forthcoming).
- Bryce Loidolt, “Al-Qaeda’s Iran Dilemma: Evidence from the Abbottabad Records,” Studies in Conflict & Terrorism (2020): 1-28.
- Bryce Loidolt and Quinn Mecham, “Parliamentary Opposition under Hybrid Regimes: Evidence from Egypt,” Legislative Studies Quarterly 41, no. 4 (2016): 997-1022.
- Brian A. Jackson and Bryce Loidolt. “Considering al-Qa‘ida's Innovation Doctrine: From Strategic Texts to ‘Innovation in Practice,’” Terrorism and Political Violence 25, no. 2 (2013): 284-310.
- Bryce Loidolt, “Managing the Global and Local: The Dual Agendas of al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula,” Studies in Conflict & Terrorism 34, no. 2 (2011): 102-123.